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Manufacturing & Distribution 2024 Sector Review & 2025 Outlook

Manufacturing & Industrial


UK manufacturing continued to demonstrate its importance to the economy in 2024, despite pressures from high borrowing costs, skills shortages, supply-chain disruption and geopolitical uncertainty.

Polestar Corporate Finance’s Manufacturing & Distribution 2024 Sector Review and 2025 Outlook explores M&A activity, investor appetite and valuation trends across aerospace, consumer and branded products, construction services, food production, industrial technology, specialist manufacturing, and printing and packaging.


UK manufacturing performance in 2024

Manufacturing accounted for:

  • 8.1% of UK employment, representing 2.6 million jobs
  • 8.8% of UK economic output, equivalent to £217 billion in gross value added
  • 45% of UK exports
  • £38.8 billion of investment

The sector continued to respond to skilled-labour shortages, supply-chain disruption, export challenges and increased cybersecurity requirements. At the same time, stable research and development tax relief, continued capital expensing and investment in new technologies supported confidence in the sector’s longer-term prospects.


What influenced M&A activity in 2024?

Improving borrowing conditions

The Bank of England and US Federal Reserve reduced interest rates following the peaks recorded in 2023.

Although UK borrowing costs remained high, growing confidence that interest rates were no longer increasing contributed to a more positive outlook for lower and middle-market dealmaking in 2025.

Private equity activity began to recover

European private equity activity increased by an estimated 18% year on year during 2024, following a period in which high borrowing costs had constrained dealmaking.

Deal value also increased by an estimated 13% in the US and 12% globally.

At the beginning of 2024, private equity firms held approximately 28,000 portfolio companies with a combined value of £2.5 trillion. The proportion of assets held for more than five years had increased by 18% since the end of 2022.

Exit activity subsequently increased during 2024:

  • Global private equity exit volumes rose by 9%
  • US exit activity increased by 17%
  • European exit activity increased by 19%

Further exits during 2025 were expected to release capital for reinvestment and support renewed private equity dealmaking.

Corporate buyers remained active

Corporate-led transactions accounted for 63% of UK M&A activity during 2024.

Corporate acquirers had proved more resilient during the preceding downturn in global M&A. Many businesses had also accumulated cash during the period of economic uncertainty, strengthening their capacity to pursue acquisitions.


Key manufacturing trends

Employment and skills

Skilled-labour shortages remained a significant issue for UK manufacturers. Skills England was introduced to help address the skills gap, while rising employment costs encouraged businesses to explore automation and other efficiency measures.

Some 92% of manufacturers expected staff to represent their highest cost during 2025.

Supply-chain resilience

Geopolitical and economic instability continued to disrupt supply chains and create export challenges.

A growing focus on onshore production offered manufacturers an opportunity to reduce reliance on international supply chains while improving resilience and security.

Cybersecurity

Greater use of data and connected technologies increased manufacturers’ exposure to cybersecurity risks.

Half of UK businesses experienced a cybersecurity breach during the preceding 12 months, based on the UK Government’s Cyber Security Breaches Survey 2024.

Innovation and investment

The UK Budget maintained stable research and development tax relief and continued full capital expensing.

The Hydrogen Innovation Initiative, led by the High Value Manufacturing Catapult, also explored the role hydrogen could play in future UK manufacturing growth.


Manufacturing subsector findings

Food production

Food production remained the largest UK manufacturing subsector.

The production-to-supply ratio reached 62% across all food and 74% for indigenous food, with both figures increasing from their 2021 levels.

Pharmaceutical manufacturing

UK pharmaceutical production output increased by 30% over the preceding ten years.

Fabricated metals and intermediary products

Manufacturing output for intermediary products, including fabricated metals, increased by 40%, supported partly by demand from the construction sector.

Industrial technology and electrical components

The UK maintained a competitive position in industrial technology and electrical components.

Research and development opportunities included navigational, irradiation, electromedical and electrotherapeutic equipment.

Aerospace

Technological developments created some volatility in public-market aerospace valuations.

Drones remained an emerging area, with their practical applications and limitations continuing to develop.

Specialist manufacturing

Specialist manufacturing includes innovative and growth-stage businesses that can have lower EBITDA than companies in more mature verticals. This can produce higher EBITDA multiples even where enterprise values remain relatively stable.

Two businesses affected the tracked valuation data during 2024:

  • Ichor Holdings began the year with a TEV/EBITDA multiple of approximately 70x. This fell to approximately 40x in August and remained around that level for the rest of the year.
  • Flowtech Fluidpower experienced a temporary fall in market capitalisation in November, between its expected earnings release and actual earnings filing.

Technology and Industry 4.0

Technology adoption continued to change how manufacturing businesses operate.

Larger manufacturers were expected to lead the adoption of smart factories and advanced tools. Their investment could help smaller businesses identify the technologies most suitable for their operations before committing capital.

Developments highlighted during the period included:

  • Wide-bandgap semiconductors
  • Lightweight composite materials
  • Smart factories
  • Artificial intelligence
  • Cloud-based technology
  • Factory automation
  • Wireless systems and edge servers
  • Integration of operational technology with information technology

Coca-Cola announced a planned £42 million investment in an automated storage and retrieval system at its Wakefield site.

Some 29% of manufacturing firms planned to use technology, cloud services or artificial intelligence to support their success during 2025.


Regulation and cybersecurity requirements

Technology adoption was accompanied by additional regulatory and cybersecurity considerations.

Manufacturers were preparing for requirements including:

  • NIS2
  • DORA
  • PCI 4.0
  • The UK Cyber Resilience Act
  • The EU AI Act

Cloud-based systems offered greater flexibility and scalability, but manufacturers also needed to consider proactive cybersecurity strategies.


Sustainable manufacturing and distribution

Manufacturing businesses typically have higher energy requirements than companies in many other sectors. Energy pressures following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine brought cost efficiency and sustainable operations into sharper focus.

Areas of development included:

  • Optimising distribution routes
  • Increasing factory automation
  • Temperature-sensitive packaging for food, beverage and pharmaceutical distribution
  • Deposit return schemes
  • Advanced recycling methods
  • Reducing waste
  • Recovering valuable materials for use in new products

Greater ESG monitoring and reporting requirements were expected to maintain the focus on sustainable operations.


Public-market valuations

Valuation multiples across the relatively mature manufacturing sector remained broadly stable during 2024.

Aerospace and specialist manufacturing experienced greater volatility because of technological developments and the growth-stage characteristics of some businesses.

Polestar CF tracked public-company revenue and EBITDA multiples across:

  • Aerospace
  • Printing and packaging
  • Food production
  • Specialist manufacturing
  • Industrial technology
  • Consumer and branded products
  • Construction

There was insufficient comparable data to calculate a representative aerospace EBITDA multiple.


Private manufacturing and distribution transactions

Global elections and economic uncertainty affected manufacturing and distribution deal activity during 2024.

Consumer and branded products and construction recorded small increases in UK transaction volumes compared with 2023. The other manufacturing verticals reviewed recorded a decline.

Trade buyers continued to dominate the market, with international acquirers particularly active. International investors and strategic acquirers represented 37% of the manufacturing and distribution market during 2024.

Polestar CF completed two transactions in the sector:

  • The sale of Semmco to HAKI
  • The sale of Schoolblazer to Hancock & Gore

Many manufacturing companies remain established, family-owned businesses. Transaction volumes could increase as more owners consider retirement and exit.


Why manufacturing businesses attract investors

Private equity investors continue to find manufacturing attractive because the sector can offer:

  • Steady cash flows
  • Valuable operating assets
  • Established technical expertise
  • Operational improvement opportunities
  • Buy-and-build potential
  • Opportunities to invest in new technology
  • Resilience during periods of economic uncertainty

Private equity investment can provide manufacturers with additional capital, strategic direction and resources to support sustainable growth.

Strategic acquirers also use transactions to acquire assets, supply chains and customers. Resilient technology systems are particularly attractive, while sustainable operating practices can command a premium from trade buyers facing greater ESG reporting requirements.


Active investors and strategic acquirers

Private equity investors highlighted during 2024 included:

  • BGF: Seven UK investments below £500 million, including the £21.5 million buyout of Metpro
  • Foresight Group: Four investments, including £1.6 million of growth funding for Sprint Electric
  • Aurelius Group: Two investments, including £15 million of growth funding for Trinny London

Active strategic acquirers included:

  • Frasers Group: Six acquisitions, including the £83 million acquisition of Mulberry Group
  • BAE Systems: Three acquisitions, including the £60 million acquisition of Malloy Aeronautics
  • Luceco: Two acquisitions, including CMD Limited for £30 million and D-Line Europe for £9.4 million

Selected manufacturing transactions from 2024

Air Control Entech

Air Control Entech manufactures remote-access inspection tools for use in aviation products. SRJ Technologies Group acquired the company for approximately £15 million in July 2024.

Crosta & Mollica

Crosta & Mollica produces artisanal Italian bakery products. Perwyn acquired the company for £78 million in January 2024 before partially selling it to Connection Capital for an undisclosed amount in October.

PAR Group

PAR Group manufactures sealing plastics. R&G Fluid Power acquired the company for approximately £37 million in April 2024, representing a reported revenue multiple of 2.9x.

Codeology

Codeology manufactures and designs inkjet coders, printers and automated end-of-line labelling systems. Control Print acquired a 50.5% interest for £1 million in February 2024.


Outlook for manufacturing and distribution in 2025

UK manufacturers entered 2025 with a combination of optimism and realism.

Some 63% believed the opportunities within the sector outweighed the risks, although only 37% expected economic conditions to improve during the year.

Important areas of focus included:

  • The UK Government’s Industrial Strategy
  • Development of wide-bandgap semiconductors and lightweight composites
  • Greater onshore manufacturing capacity
  • Adoption of smart factories and advanced tools
  • Investment in technology, cloud systems and artificial intelligence
  • Integration of operational and information technology
  • Cybersecurity and regulatory compliance
  • Sustainable operations
  • Packaging, recycling and waste-reduction technologies

Download the Manufacturing & Distribution 2024 Sector Review & 2025 Outlook


Frequently asked questions

How much does manufacturing contribute to the UK economy?

Manufacturing accounted for 8.8% of UK economic output, equivalent to £217 billion in gross value added. It also represented 8.1% of UK employment, 45% of exports and £38.8 billion of investment.

What are the principal challenges facing UK manufacturers?

Skills shortages, supply-chain disruption, export pressures, energy costs and cybersecurity were among the principal challenges affecting the sector.

Which manufacturing subsectors recorded increased M&A activity?

Consumer and branded products and construction recorded small increases in UK transaction volumes compared with 2023. The other manufacturing verticals reviewed experienced lower transaction activity.

How active are international buyers in UK manufacturing M&A?

International investors and strategic acquirers represented 37% of the manufacturing and distribution market during 2024. Trade buyers continued to account for most transactions.

Why does private equity invest in manufacturing businesses?

Manufacturing businesses can offer steady cash flows, valuable assets, established expertise and opportunities for operational improvement, technology investment and buy-and-build strategies.

What do strategic buyers look for in manufacturing businesses?

Strategic acquirers seek opportunities to acquire assets, supply chains and customers. Resilient technology systems and sustainable operating practices are also attractive.

How is technology affecting UK manufacturing?

Manufacturers are investing in smart factories, automation, cloud-based systems, artificial intelligence, wireless technologies, edge servers and the integration of operational and information technology.

How important is cybersecurity to manufacturers?

Cybersecurity is becoming more important as manufacturers use more data and connected technology. Half of UK businesses experienced a cybersecurity breach during the preceding 12 months.

What is the outlook for UK manufacturing in 2025?

Some 63% of manufacturers believed the opportunities in the sector outweighed the risks, although only 37% expected economic conditions to improve. Technology adoption, onshore manufacturing, sustainable operations and the UK Government’s Industrial Strategy were important areas of focus.

By Annabel Whelan on 19/02/2025